Head to head · Open-weight models you run yourself · October 2026 research run
Kronos vs Mistral Large 4
Kronos and Mistral Large 4 score within a point of each other on agent readiness, 55.2 (C) and 54.6 (C). Mistral Large 4 leads on risk and agent interface. Both do open-weight models you run yourself.
Best open-weight models you download and run yourself for AI agents · All 3588 open weights comparisons
Which one, for what
Kronos C
Best for Agents that need a quick local forecast or synthetic sample of a candlestick series on modest hardware, for research or as one input among others.
Ahead on
- Reach, 55 against 50
Watch for
Runs only through the publisher's own PyTorch code from GitHub, in no named runtime and with no quantised build
Best for Operators with an 8-GPU Blackwell or H200 node who want a frontier-sized open model for coding agents and defensive security, with a hosted twin on Mistral's API.
Ahead on
- Risk, 75 against 50
- Agent interface, 95 against 60
Watch for
The smallest 4-bit build needs about 732 GB, so nothing fits a single workstation or a 128 GB machine
Score by category
| Category | Weight this run | Kronos | Mistral Large 4 | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Capability | 35%pending | pending | pending | not scored in this run |
| Reach | 25%25 | 55 | 50 | Kronos +5 |
| Risk | 20%20 | 50 | 75 | Mistral Large 4 +25 |
| Agent interface | 10%10 | 60 | 95 | Mistral Large 4 +35 |
| Documentation and upkeep | 10%10 | 61 | 64 | Mistral Large 4 +3 |
| Negative events | ≤15 | 0 | 0 | |
| Total | C 55.2/100 | C 54.6/100 |
Facts side by side
| Fact | Kronos | Mistral Large 4 |
|---|---|---|
| Kind | Open-weight model | Open-weight model |
| Vendor | Yu Shi (shiyu-coder, NeoQuasar), Tsinghua University | Mistral AI |
| Hosted endpoint | no (local only) | no (local only) |
| Transports | ||
| Auth | None | None |
| Pricing | Free | Free |
| x402 | no | no |
| Licence | MIT | Mistral Ecosystem Open-Weight License (modified MIT) |
| Read-only variant documented | no | no |
| llms.txt | no | no |
| Last release | 2026-04-13 | 2026-10-29 |
| Terms last updated | no document linked | no document linked |
| Privacy policy last updated | no document linked | no document linked |
| Customer content may train models | ||
| Terms restrict automated access | ||
| Terms restrict benchmarking | ||
| Terms or service can change without notice | ||
| Arbitration or class-action waiver | ||
| Popularity | 43k stars | none |
Verdicts
Kronos
Forecasts the next price bars from a history of up to 512 candlestick bars. Every size fits in under 0.5 GB and runs on a CPU, but only through the publisher's own Python package. Nobody has benchmarked it independently, its quickstart data was deleted from the repository, and the publisher hasn't replied since November 2025.
Mistral Large 4
A frontier-sized open cousin for coding agents and defensive security, with strict JSON Schema output, parallel tool calls and three reasoning efforts. It needs a multi-GPU server, about 732 GB for the smallest 4-bit build, and vLLM and SGLang run it only from special images. The main risk is a licence that bars Model-as-a-Service businesses without a separate deal.
Before you call either
Kronos
- Clone https://github.com/shiyu-coder/Kronos and
pip install -r requirements.txt, then loadKronos.from_pretrained("NeoQuasar/Kronos-small")andKronosTokenizer.from_pretrained("NeoQuasar/Kronos-Tokenizer-base")and wrap them in KronosPredictor - Pair Kronos-mini with Kronos-Tokenizer-2k and Kronos-small or Kronos-base with Kronos-Tokenizer-base, the cards' pairing
- The examples read examples/data/XSHG_5min_600977.csv, which no longer exists; point them at tests/data/regression_input.csv, 2,500 five-minute bars
- Keep the lookback at or under max_context, 512 bars, and pass the future timestamps you want as y_timestamp, since the calendar fields come from them
- Raise sample_count for a steadier forecast, but expect only the mean back; call the lower-level auto_regressive_inference yourself if you need the paths
- Treat forecasts as model output to check, not signals; the README says its own backtest pipeline isn't a production trading system
Mistral Large 4
- Serve the NVFP4 build on Blackwell with
vllm/vllm-openai:mistral-large-4 --model mistralai/Mistral-Large-4-1T-A52B-NVFP4 --tensor-parallel-size 8 --kv-cache-dtype fp8_ds_mla --tool-call-parser mistral --reasoning-parser mistral --enable-auto-tool-choice; released vLLM doesn't load it - On H200 use the FP8 build with tensor parallelism of 16 or 8 by 2 pipelines, per vLLM's recipe
- Pass
reasoning_effortlow, medium or high (default high); any other value makes the template raise an error, and there is no off switch - Read the reasoning from
message.reasoning;max_completion_tokenscounts reasoning tokens too - Use temperature 1.0 and top_p 0.95 at every effort, per the card
- Ask for JSON with
response_formattype json_schema and strict true; the template passes the schema to the model - The template rejects a tool message straight after a user message and a conversation that doesn't start with a user or system message
- Add
--speculative-config '{"method": "dspark", "num_speculative_tokens": 3}'to use the embedded draft head - If you'll offer it to others as a hosted model, read the licence first; Model-as-a-Service use needs Mistral's commercial licence
Questions
Which is better for AI agents, Kronos or Mistral Large 4?
Kronos and Mistral Large 4 score within a point of each other on agent readiness, 55.2 (C) and 54.6 (C). Mistral Large 4 leads on risk and agent interface.
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Machine-readable
- This page as Markdown
/compare/kronos-vs-mistral-large-4.md· slim.min.md· JSON.json(or sendAccept: text/markdown) - Each listing in full
/api/v1/tools/kronos.json·/api/v1/tools/mistral-large-4.json - From a terminal
anchor compare kronos mistral-large-4(the CLI) - Over MCP
compare_tools {"a": "kronos", "b": "mistral-large-4"}at/mcp, no key