gpt-oss-20b vs Kronos

gpt-oss-20b

gpt-oss-20b is a cousin for reasoning, coding and single tool calls with structured output, under plain Apache 2.0. It needs about 17 GB with a working context, and five inference providers serve it. The main risks are that it trails o4-mini at keeping system instructions above user ones, and OpenAI hasn't answered a report since August 2025.

Kronos

Forecasts the next price bars from a history of up to 512 candlestick bars. Every size fits in under 0.5 GB and runs on a CPU, but only through the publisher's own Python package. Nobody has benchmarked it independently, its quickstart data was deleted from the repository, and the publisher hasn't replied since November 2025.

gpt-oss-20b

1. Start it with ollama run gpt-oss:20b (the build that fits the reference machine), or vllm serve openai/gpt-oss-20b with a current vLLM release rather than the card's pinned vllm==0.10.1+gptoss wheel
2. Use the harmony format through the chat template or openai-harmony; OpenAI says the model doesn't work correctly without it
3. Parse tool calls and reasoning with openai-harmony; calls come on the commentary channel ending in <|call|>, reasoning on the analysis channel
4. Set effort with Reasoning: high (or low, medium) in the system message, or reasoning_effort in the template; medium is the default
5. Ask for JSON by putting a JSON Schema under # Response Formats in the developer message
6. Drop earlier reasoning after a final answer but pass it back after tool calls, and don't show the analysis channel to users
7. Expect one tool call per turn; run several in sequence rather than in parallel

Kronos

1. Clone https://github.com/shiyu-coder/Kronos and pip install -r requirements.txt, then load Kronos.from_pretrained("NeoQuasar/Kronos-small") and KronosTokenizer.from_pretrained("NeoQuasar/Kronos-Tokenizer-base") and wrap them in KronosPredictor
2. Pair Kronos-mini with Kronos-Tokenizer-2k and Kronos-small or Kronos-base with Kronos-Tokenizer-base, the cards' pairing
3. The examples read examples/data/XSHG_5min_600977.csv, which no longer exists; point them at tests/data/regression_input.csv, 2,500 five-minute bars
4. Keep the lookback at or under max_context, 512 bars, and pass the future timestamps you want as y_timestamp, since the calendar fields come from them
5. Raise sample_count for a steadier forecast, but expect only the mean back; call the lower-level auto_regressive_inference yourself if you need the paths
6. Treat forecasts as model output to check, not signals; the README says its own backtest pipeline isn't a production trading system