{
  "checked": "2026-10-23",
  "released": [],
  "waiting": [
    {
      "access": "unknown",
      "announced": "2026-10-23",
      "announcedHow": "teaser video on Moonshot's @Kimi_Moonshot X account (cited via pages that describe it)",
      "expected": "2026-10-27",
      "expectedBy": "a tester on X says before 27 October; Moonshot gave no date",
      "kind": "language model",
      "name": "Kimi K3.1",
      "note": "Successor to Kimi K3; the 24-second teaser shows the Kimi Code terminal running 'Model: Kimi K3.1' and generating Three.js 3D scenes. Believed to be the anonymous 'Kibitz' model on Arena; size, licence and date not stated (a leaker, not Moonshot, says it ships before 27 October).",
      "overdue": false,
      "sources": [
        {
          "url": "https://www.testingcatalog.com/kimi-k3-1-spotted-testing-arena/",
          "what": "TestingCatalog: Moonshot teaser post of 23 Oct and Arena 'Kibitz' sighting (x.com post quoted here, not read directly)",
          "seen": "2026-10-23"
        },
        {
          "url": "https://www.kucoin.com/news/flash/kimi-official-video-reveals-k3-1-model",
          "what": "KuCoin News: describes the official Kimi teaser video and the kimi-k3-1 API identifier",
          "seen": "2026-10-23"
        }
      ],
      "status": "teased",
      "vendor": "Moonshot AI"
    },
    {
      "access": "unknown",
      "announced": "2026-10-05",
      "announcedHow": "Reka blog post 'Rho-1: Collapsing the multimodal stack'",
      "expected": "",
      "expectedBy": "",
      "kind": "multimodal model",
      "name": "Rho-1",
      "note": "19B omni-reasoning model trained from scratch that reads and generates text, images and video and outputs robot actions in one network. Research preview only: no public API, download or price; collaborators contact Reka.",
      "overdue": false,
      "sources": [
        {
          "url": "https://reka.ai/news/rho-1-collapsing-the-multimodal-stack",
          "what": "Reka announcement, 5 Oct 2026",
          "seen": "2026-10-23"
        },
        {
          "url": "https://quasa.io/stories/reka-s-rho-1-unifies-video-and-robot-actions-but-it-is-still-a-preview",
          "what": "Quasa: access limited to collaborators, no general release date",
          "seen": "2026-10-23"
        }
      ],
      "status": "preview",
      "vendor": "Reka"
    },
    {
      "access": "unknown",
      "announced": "2026-10-01",
      "announcedHow": "Tavus research post introducing Griffin",
      "expected": "",
      "expectedBy": "",
      "kind": "video model",
      "name": "Griffin",
      "note": "Real-time, full-duplex video-to-video 'Human Interaction Model' for face-to-face AI conversation. A smaller Griffin-Lite is a research preview for select trusted testers (request form); Tavus says the full Griffin follows once safety work is done.",
      "overdue": false,
      "sources": [
        {
          "url": "https://www.tavus.io/griffin",
          "what": "Tavus announcement, 1 Oct 2026: Griffin-Lite preview for trusted testers, Griffin to follow",
          "seen": "2026-10-23"
        },
        {
          "url": "https://letsdatascience.com/news/tavus-releases-griffin-live-video-model-4ceaa1bd",
          "what": "Let's Data Science: no general launch date announced",
          "seen": "2026-10-23"
        }
      ],
      "status": "preview",
      "vendor": "Tavus"
    },
    {
      "access": "unknown",
      "announced": "2026-09-22",
      "announcedHow": "Apsara Conference keynote and Alibaba Cloud press release",
      "expected": "",
      "expectedBy": "",
      "kind": "language model",
      "name": "Qwen 4 (Max, Plus, Flash)",
      "note": "Next Qwen generation on a new architecture, said to be in training; previewed as Max (flagship), Plus and Flash tiers. No model card, API name, price or benchmarks yet; the Qwen LLM lead said only that it will come 'soon'.",
      "overdue": false,
      "sources": [
        {
          "url": "https://www.alibabacloud.com/press-room/alibaba-unveils-roadmap-on-full-stack-ai-strategy",
          "what": "Alibaba Cloud press release, 22 Sep 2026: Qwen 4 'currently in training'",
          "seen": "2026-10-23"
        },
        {
          "url": "https://latenode.com/news/alibaba-previews-qwen-4-lineup-without-api-pricing-or-release-date",
          "what": "Latenode: lineup previewed at Apsara, no date or pricing",
          "seen": "2026-10-23"
        },
        {
          "url": "https://www.datalearner.com/ai-models/pretrained-models/qwen4-plus",
          "what": "DataLearner: Qwen4-Plus announced, not yet available; Alibaba said 'soon'",
          "seen": "2026-10-23"
        }
      ],
      "status": "announced",
      "vendor": "Alibaba (Qwen)"
    },
    {
      "access": "open weights",
      "announced": "2026-09-22",
      "announcedHow": "shown in the Qwen 4 lineup at the Apsara Conference",
      "expected": "",
      "expectedBy": "",
      "kind": "language model",
      "name": "Qwen 4 27B",
      "note": "27B model presented as the open, locally deployable tier of the Qwen 4 family. The open-weight plan comes from coverage of the keynote; Alibaba's press release does not spell it out, and no weights are published.",
      "overdue": false,
      "sources": [
        {
          "url": "https://www.datalearner.com/ai-models/pretrained-models/qwen4-plus",
          "what": "DataLearner: lists Qwen4-27B as the open-source tier shown at Apsara",
          "seen": "2026-10-23"
        },
        {
          "url": "https://www.orcarouter.ai/blog/qwen-4-max-lineup-announced-apsara-2026",
          "what": "OrcaRouter: 27B described as the open-weight local tier, no weights yet",
          "seen": "2026-10-23"
        }
      ],
      "status": "announced",
      "vendor": "Alibaba (Qwen)"
    },
    {
      "access": "unknown",
      "announced": "2026-09-22",
      "announcedHow": "Alibaba Cloud press release at the Apsara Conference",
      "expected": "",
      "expectedBy": "Later in 2026, Alibaba says",
      "kind": "image model",
      "name": "Qwen-Image 3.1",
      "note": "Image generation model following Qwen-Image 3.0. Alibaba said it will launch 'later this year' (2026) but gave no date; no specs published.",
      "overdue": false,
      "sources": [
        {
          "url": "https://www.alibabacloud.com/press-room/alibaba-unveils-roadmap-on-full-stack-ai-strategy",
          "what": "Alibaba Cloud press release: Qwen-Image 3.1 set to launch later this year",
          "seen": "2026-10-23"
        },
        {
          "url": "https://www.datalearner.com/ai-models/pretrained-models/qwen-image-3-1",
          "what": "DataLearner: not yet officially released",
          "seen": "2026-10-23"
        }
      ],
      "status": "announced",
      "vendor": "Alibaba (Qwen)"
    },
    {
      "access": "unknown",
      "announced": "2026-09-13",
      "announcedHow": "Elon Musk posts on X (quoted by third-party pages)",
      "expected": "",
      "expectedBy": "",
      "kind": "language model",
      "name": "Grok 4.8",
      "note": "Musk described a 2.5-trillion-parameter model on a new C++ training stack that would 'finish training this week and start RL', and later called it a noticeable improvement over Grok 4.7. No model ID, price or date from xAI.",
      "overdue": false,
      "sources": [
        {
          "url": "https://www.orcarouter.ai/blog/grok-4-8-leak",
          "what": "OrcaRouter: quotes Musk's 13-14 Sep X posts (x.com not read directly)",
          "seen": "2026-10-23"
        },
        {
          "url": "https://geotoolbox.ai/blog/grok-5",
          "what": "Geotoolbox: Musk's 14 Sep posts via TeslaNorth, Grok 4.8 and 4.9 before Grok 5",
          "seen": "2026-10-23"
        },
        {
          "url": "https://andrew.ooo/answers/grok-4-8-vs-grok-4-7-vs-grok-5-xai-roadmap-october-2026/",
          "what": "andrew.ooo: still no Grok 4.8 model as of 3 Oct",
          "seen": "2026-10-23"
        }
      ],
      "status": "teased",
      "vendor": "xAI"
    },
    {
      "access": "API",
      "announced": "2026-09-03",
      "announcedHow": "press release introducing the OpenEvidence model family",
      "expected": "",
      "expectedBy": "",
      "kind": "language model",
      "name": "Darwin",
      "note": "OpenEvidence's most capable medical model, in an application-based research preview for institutional partners, research collaborators and accredited academic AI researchers (partner endpoint). Size not disclosed; capabilities are to move into its production models later.",
      "overdue": false,
      "sources": [
        {
          "url": "https://www.01net.it/introducing-the-openevidence-model-family/",
          "what": "Business Wire release, 3 Sep 2026, republished by 01net",
          "seen": "2026-10-23"
        },
        {
          "url": "https://www.iatrox.com/blog/openevidence-darwin-access-explained-research-preview-eligibility-and-the-path-to-wider-use",
          "what": "iatroX: access by application, no general release date",
          "seen": "2026-10-23"
        }
      ],
      "status": "preview",
      "vendor": "OpenEvidence"
    },
    {
      "access": "unknown",
      "announced": "2026-08-31",
      "announcedHow": "named by founder Tang Jie on the half-year results call",
      "expected": "",
      "expectedBy": "",
      "kind": "language model",
      "name": "GLM-6.0",
      "note": "Next Z.ai base model, framed around 'self-evolution' (the model judging when to stop and correct its own training). Tang Jie said the base model will grow while active parameters are kept in check; no date or licence given.",
      "overdue": false,
      "sources": [
        {
          "url": "https://news.10jqka.com.cn/20260901/c679482901.shtml",
          "what": "10jqka (Tonghuashun): report of Zhipu's 31 Aug results briefing Q\u0026A",
          "seen": "2026-10-23"
        },
        {
          "url": "https://www.orcarouter.ai/blog/glm-6-0-leak",
          "what": "OrcaRouter: no Z.ai announcement beyond the call",
          "seen": "2026-10-23"
        }
      ],
      "status": "teased",
      "vendor": "Zhipu AI (Z.ai)"
    },
    {
      "access": "unknown",
      "announced": "2026-07-30",
      "announcedHow": "roadmap announced at Sarvam's Epoch 2026 conference in Bengaluru",
      "expected": "2027-01",
      "expectedBy": "within six months, Sarvam says",
      "kind": "language model",
      "name": "Sarvam trillion-parameter model (unnamed)",
      "note": "Trillion-plus-parameter foundation model trained from scratch in India, aimed at coding, cybersecurity, simulation and science. Sarvam said it expects the model within six months (by about January 2027); no name or licence yet.",
      "overdue": false,
      "sources": [
        {
          "url": "https://letsdatascience.com/news/sarvam-ai-plans-trillion-parameter-foundation-model-002360b8",
          "what": "Let's Data Science: announced 30 Jul 2026 at Epoch",
          "seen": "2026-10-23"
        },
        {
          "url": "https://freepressjournal.in/tech/sarvam-bets-big-on-indias-ai-future-with-trillion-parameter-model-will-be-priced-five-times-cheaper-than-global-rivals",
          "what": "Free Press Journal: cofounder Pratyush Kumar, 'within six months'",
          "seen": "2026-10-23"
        }
      ],
      "status": "announced",
      "vendor": "Sarvam AI"
    },
    {
      "access": "open weights",
      "announced": "2026-07-23",
      "announcedHow": "Black Forest Labs FLUX 3 launch post (launch plan section)",
      "expected": "",
      "expectedBy": "",
      "kind": "multimodal model",
      "name": "FLUX 3 Dev",
      "note": "Planned open-weight release of the FLUX 3 multimodal backbone for video, audio and image generation and action prediction. The other FLUX 3 parts (Video, Image, Image Klein, Action, Max) have shipped; no date, size or licence for Dev.",
      "overdue": false,
      "sources": [
        {
          "url": "https://bfl.ai/blog/flux-3",
          "what": "BFL FLUX 3 post, 23 Jul 2026: lists 'FLUX 3 Dev' open-weight access as a coming capability",
          "seen": "2026-10-23"
        },
        {
          "url": "https://www.scriptbyai.com/flux-timeline/",
          "what": "ScriptByAI FLUX timeline: Dev still upcoming, no confirmed date",
          "seen": "2026-10-23"
        }
      ],
      "status": "announced",
      "vendor": "Black Forest Labs"
    },
    {
      "access": "open weights",
      "announced": "2026-03-16",
      "announcedHow": "NVIDIA press release launching the Nemotron Coalition (GTC)",
      "expected": "",
      "expectedBy": "As early as late autumn 2026, The Information reported",
      "kind": "language model",
      "name": "Nemotron 4",
      "note": "Family of open models to be built on the Nemotron Coalition's first model, co-developed with Mistral AI. The Information reported the largest model exceeds 1 trillion parameters and could be ready as early as late fall 2026; NVIDIA has not confirmed a date. Announced slightly more than six months ago.",
      "overdue": false,
      "sources": [
        {
          "url": "https://investor.nvidia.com/news/press-release-details/2026/NVIDIA-Launches-Nemotron-Coalition-of-Leading-Global-AI-Labs-to-Advance-Open-Frontier-Models/default.aspx",
          "what": "NVIDIA press release, 16 Mar 2026: coalition model will underpin the upcoming Nemotron 4 family of open models",
          "seen": "2026-10-23"
        },
        {
          "url": "https://www.vktr.com/ai-news/nvidia-developing-1-trillion-parameter-open-model-to-rival-top-ai-systems/",
          "what": "VKTR, 11 Aug 2026: The Information report on size and late-fall timing",
          "seen": "2026-10-23"
        }
      ],
      "status": "announced",
      "vendor": "NVIDIA"
    },
    {
      "access": "unknown",
      "announced": "2026-01-06",
      "announcedHow": "xAI Series E funding post ('Grok 5 is currently in training')",
      "expected": "",
      "expectedBy": "",
      "kind": "language model",
      "name": "Grok 5",
      "note": "xAI's next flagship, in training on Colossus 2. Musk has given shifting targets (most recently that it comes after Grok 4.8 and 4.9); no xAI date. Announced more than six months ago but still unreleased.",
      "overdue": false,
      "sources": [
        {
          "url": "https://x.ai/blog/series-e",
          "what": "xAI Series E post, 6 Jan 2026",
          "seen": "2026-10-23"
        },
        {
          "url": "https://geotoolbox.ai/blog/grok-5",
          "what": "Geotoolbox: status and Musk statements to Sep 2026, no official date",
          "seen": "2026-10-23"
        }
      ],
      "status": "announced",
      "vendor": "xAI"
    }
  ]
}